Albuquerque Market Forcast
December 8, 2010 Leave a comment
Yesterday the team had the opportunity to listen to the Chief Economist from the National Association of Realtors speak about the upcoming real estate forecast and economic forecast for 2011 and beyond. Dr. Yun explained the current economy and how it will affect the real estate market for the upcoming year and beyond. Currently, we are selling homes at the same level as 2000. Some of the main forces is unemployment, overbuilding of new homes and the increase in default mortgages. One example of the change over the last couple of years is in 2004 there were over 5,000 single family building permits in Bernalillo County. In 2010 there are only 186 single family building permits in Bernalillo County.
With all the doom and gloom there are some small signs of slow economic recovery. In 2010 there has been 1.5 million jobs added. Also, interest rates have been low and will continue below 5% through 2011. There are estimates that there will be 5.4 million homes sold in 2011, which is still at year 2000 levels. There is a forecast for unemployment rates to start to decline to 8% by 2012.
Lastly, Dr Yun stated that the Rocky Mountain States have in the past shown high levels of growth in population and this equates into a demand for homes. In the next 3 to 5 years we can expect the Rocky Mountain States to continue to grow and continue to help improve the housing market in the Albuquerque area. The rates for foreclosure are lower in the Albuquerque area and we will begin to see signs of the rate of foreclosure to decline by the end of 2011 and through 2012.